NASHVILLE, Ind. — Accelerating economic activity has led FTR Associates to increase its estimates of the amount of truck freight that was moving at year-end 2009, as reported in the January edition of FTR’s North American Commercial Truck and Trailer Report.
If sustained, the stronger freight picture will result in higher truck rates and better financial results for truckers in 2010 and higher truck and trailer sales in 2011. Meanwhile, 2010 tractor sales will be affected by the new EPA mandate, with higher sales in the first half and a second-half slowdown likely, according to FTR.
“Higher freight demand will cause the existing large overhang of surplus equipment to be worked down more quickly, translating into the potential for more units to be sold in 2011,” said Eric Starks, FTR president. “While freight demand will increase throughout 2010, actual build numbers for Class 8 vehicles will likely be higher in the first part of the year because of the late pre-buy activity for vehicles with pre-2010 emission engines. Our 2010 production forecast remains unchanged but this demand for 2009 vehicles will pull ahead build to the first half of 2010 at a corresponding decline in second-half numbers.”
The full North American Commercial Truck and Trailer Outlook Report is available to subscribers. In addition to FTR’s regular freight, equipment, trucking environment and economic forecasts, the issue contains commentary on NAFTA partners, with up-to-date economic and factory sector data and growth prospects for both Canada and Mexico.
FTR Associates has been providing the industry with transportation forecasts for more than 20 years. The company’s U.S. Freight Model collects and analyzes all data likely to impact freight movement and is based on specific characteristics for over 200 commodity groups. FTR Associates’ forecast reports cover trucking and rail transportation and include demand analysis for commercial vehicle as well as railcar. 8
Kevin Jones of The Trucker staff can be reached for comment at email@example.com.
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