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Cass Freight Index: Longest freight downturn on record, as measured y/y, ended in August

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Cass Freight Index: Longest freight downturn on record, as measured y/y, ended in August
Freight industry sees end to historic longest downturn, measured y/y/, in August, according to the Cass Freight Index.

The shipments component of the Cass Freight Index increased 2.1% year over year, marking the first year-over-year gain since January 2023 and bringing a 42-month downturn to a close.

Cass Freight Index – Shipments
  • The shipments component of the Cass Freight Index rose 5/6% m/m and 2.1% y/y in August, marking the first y/y gain since January 2023. This ends a 42-month downturn by this measure, the longest on record.
  • In SA terms, shipments rose 5.0% m/m in August, essentially reversing declines in June and July.
  • As this roughly offsets the declines in the past few months, we hesitate to describe this as a major improvement in freight demand.

The normal seasonal trend would put the shipments component of the Cass Freight Index up about 1% y/y in September.

Cass Freight Index – Expenditures

The expenditures component of the Cass Freight Index, which measures the total amount spent on freight, accelerated to 19% y/y growth in August to 3.72, up from a 9.1% gain in July, driven mostly by higher shipments.

  • In SA terms, the index rose 6.0% m/m after falling 2.1% in July, with a 5.0% gain in shipments, implying a ~1.0% increase in overall rates.

The expenditures component of the Cass Freight Index, after a record 38% surge in 2021 and another 23% increase in 2022, fell 19% in 2023 and 11% in 2024. In 2025, the index declined by 0.5%.

Cass Truckload Linehaul Index

The Cass Truckload Linehaul Index rose to 153.9 in August, up 0.7% m/m and up 11.3% y/y.

  • The sequential increase is in line with expectations and as indicated by the spot market. Even as spot rates slow with modest sequential declines, the much larger contract market is adjusting higher.
  • This index reflects the whole for-hire truckload market, both spot and contract rates.

The Cass Truckload Linehaul Index fell 10% in 2023, another 3.4% in 2024, and turned up to a 1.8% increase in 2025. In 2026, with no further change, the index is on pace for a 7% increase.

Dana Guthrie

Dana Guthrie is an award-winning journalist who has been featured in multiple newspapers, books and magazines across the globe. She is currently based in the Atlanta, Georgia, area.

Avatar for Dana Guthrie
Dana Guthrie is an award-winning journalist who has been featured in multiple newspapers, books and magazines across the globe. She is currently based in the Atlanta, Georgia, area.
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