ACT: Class 8 engine production to grow before drop late in 2019

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Tom Rhein of Rhein Associates said movement from premium over 10L engines to lower durability engines under 10L engines is limited. (Courtesy: ACT RESEARCH)

COLUMBUS, Ind. — According to the recently released North American Commercial Vehicle On-Highway Engine OUTLOOK, published by ACT Research and Rhein Associates, Class 8 production is expected to continue growing in 2019 before an anticipated drop late in the year and into 2020.

Diesel is still the dominate power source and vocational truck demand is more stable than tractors demand, the two organizations said.

“Trucks are the primary application of engines under 10L, with the proportion closely following truck production,” said Tom Rhein, president of Rhein Associates. “Although there is an industry trend to smaller displacement engines, movement from premium over 10L engines to lower durability engines under 10L engines is limited.”

With regard to Classes 5-7, Rhein said in marked contrast to heavy duty Class 8 trucks, medium duty demand is forecast to remain at a high level, with minimal annual fluctuations.

For this segment of the commercial vehicle industry, trucks remain the dominant category, approximately 74% of the Classes 5-7 total.

“Diesel power is under attack long-term for use in on-highway commercial vehicles,” said Kenny Vieth, president and senior analyst at ACT Research. “Alternative power is being developed, tested, and refined, even as diesel engines are transitioning to become more fuel efficient and clean. Emission regulations are one of the main drivers of alternative fuel adoption, which is why the Engine OUTLOOK includes a section on the commercial vehicle regulatory environment.”

The latest NA On-Highway Engine OUTLOOK published by ACT Research and Rhein Associates highlights power-source activity for CV GVWs 5-8, including five-year forecasts of engines volumes and product trends.

The Engine Outlook ties to the detailed NA CV vehicle forecasts published monthly by ACT in the NA OUTLOOK.

Rhein Associates is a major supplier of powertrain information to worldwide clients enabling accurate and informed business decisions and marketing plans.

ACT Research is a publisher of commercial vehicle truck, trailer, and bus industry data, market analysis and forecasting services for the North American and China markets.

 

 

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